Stony Brook Professor: Trump Will Be Re-elected In Landslide

Helmut Norpoth, who’s correctly predicted five of the past six elections, gives President Trump a 91 percent chance of winning re-election.

STONY BROOK, NY — President Donald Trump will defeat former Vice President Joe Biden in a landslide in the Nov. 3 election, says Stony Brook University professor and political scientist Helmut Norpoth.

Not only did Norpoth correctly predict Trump’s win over Hillary Clinton in 2016, but he has correctly called five of the past six presidential elections using his “primary model,” a statistical representation of U.S. presidential races based on data going back more than a century, according to the university.

According to Norpoth, Trump has a 91 percent chance of winning re-election. The model also has Trump securing 362 electoral votes. His prediction runs contrary to most polls — similar to 2016.

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~tannngl